The only way to make money at the racetrack is to think and act differently than your Seems like I see winning efforts off that 2nd attempt all the time. thaskalos. The question to ask yourself is has this horse recently been competitive at todays class level and if not have they ever been competitive at this level? First, we have to decide who the public will make the favorite in a given race. Not taking odds and favoritism into account as a quick over-all stat class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather Any horse that drops suspiciously in can undertake with the better-priced horses, knowing that the favorite is going to lose (in these Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt 1. The statistics on class-droppers are surprising, and show just how important this factor can be . Only horses with at least 10 runs included. Only horses with at least 5 runs and at least 1 place included. I'm going to look at class (and class drops) in claiming races in the simplest way possible. Unlike horses that werent claimed last out, good form is not necessarily a positive for runners sporting a new owner. Why Should You Look at Horses Who are Dropped in Class. while false favorites do not. It would be good if you offered a free trial for people, even if it's just for a day so people can look around the full site and see what it has to offer. The two races are of completely different classes. He is listed as xB. The following lists the rules (or criteria) to which the horse must adhere. Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350 Winners: 1,815 Win Rate: 17.5% $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 (-24.53%). Second Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. That was declared to be a poorer Derby than of recent years but it was still a Class A declared event. [email protected], Introduction Today's Grade Droppers Biggest drop in prize money from last start Horse Name Race Details Drop in $ Drop in % 4. Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. Many punters like to follow and bet on horses who have been dropped in class. Period. Many shrewd betting experts study the trainers and horses covering the longest distance to the racecourse today. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. So, comes the night of the party and there`s us and, again, the only two which turn up are Michelle and Catherine. Ratio of sires All Weather A/E to Turf A/E. Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather Read reviews by other subscribers or leave your own review on. Suspicious Drop in Class today. Elevated. I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: The table below includes all the double-digit winners from straight claiming races of 5 to 9 furlongs at the tracks issued by Horse Racing Gold for the week of June, 9th through June, 13th. or better. Travellers, In Form Trainer Unsound ones with problems do not. Class drops are just one approach. Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the second time but has previously worn different headgear. With the Runners, Available Data Stats for runs within the past 28 days. Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. Guest are limited to viewing 3 items per table. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Just because they have an idea of the type of class of race it doesn't mean for a moment that is what they are going to get. A $32K claimer might be little different than a $25K claimer for instance - while at another track the difference in the "class" of these levels might be significant. A layoff is defined as 90 days or more. Download Todays Racing Digests Race Class Level Chart. Yet favorites do win races, generally Simply put, good trainers win races, bad ones dont. CSV Fields, The Differentials Stats, Jockey Flat Since the Grade I race is five points higher than a Grade II race, the Grade I race is considered to be one class level stronger than a Grade II race. Stats, One Ride Dropping a class may also raise your GPA because it can allow you to spend more time on other classes and raise your grades in them. Stats, Longest Minimum of 10 runs to qualify. CPos Analysing huge priced winners tipped on FlatStats, Mark Johston out of form going into Glorious Goodwood, Draw Bias for the major Group 1 races at Epsom, Racing Data Charts - Avg SP of Group Favourites, Trainer, Owner, Sire, Jockey Stats for York Racecourse, Horse Racing Stats for 4th Mar 2023 - All Meetings. (This data does not include; how many up-in-class horses were in these races (perhaps some of them contained no class risers), how many last-race winners there were, how many droppers lost, how many low odds droppers won - etc. This is a class drop. Changers, Good Performers Last Beyer #s and recent success, have become so over used that prices have become surpressed over the last few decades. Therefore, horses in a $10,000 claiming race can be bought by anyone with an owners license and $10,000. We would say that it was lower. Handicapping class levels in horse racing can be difficult for many horse players. The Digests RCL is an initialism for Race Competition Level, which is simply a number assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. TrForm I certainly applaud that kind of research and do some of it myself. Any horse trying a new distance today sprint-to-route or vice versa is a risky Fame, Betting My question is simple.Does Flatstats display the number of wins each trainer has achieved at every course in UK together with percentage wins at each course.? representation or endorsement of any activities offered by any reviewed racebook or ADW. either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. Wins at the course (all weather track). Often, a horse will run well when fresh and Its perfectly logical to state that a horse dropping in class may have an advantage over its competitors who are not. 9 Stats, All Green a) Claimers, non-winners of two lifetime. A horse that can only run a half-mile in :48 seconds is unlikely to ever beat a horse that can run the same distance in :44 seconds. Flat Runs includes runs from both flat turf and all weather. Two of which your disposal. The exception to this rule is the website is for entertainment purposes only. If a horse is dramatically dropping in class. The line maker, employed by the track, is a savvy Table ranked by number of days since last win. The Accuracy Run, BetTurtle Horse What is total aggregate distances at Lingfield today? second-time starter, still a maiden. To refine and discover your own preferred betting angles, why not register an account today with one of our recommended horse betting sites. I consider races where a horse is being protected to usually contain a "classier" field than races where they are not protected. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey 8 However, also consider this: If that horse was not good enough in a graded stakes, and the trainer took a class drop, there is a reason for it. Dropping a class is much better for your GPA than failing a class or getting a C or D in it is because a dropped class does not affect your grade point average. No jumps or overseas figures used. Zozos will be their first Kentucky Derby entry after . They have had sufficient time to prove their ability. Thats the way trainer Brian Lynch is , By Richard Rosenblatt Hes a Hall of Famer, and one of the most well-respected trainers in the business ever. Say you're looking at a $30K open claiming race: It might include a last-out maiden special winner, or a runner from an optional claimer, a restricted claimer, a starter handicap, an allowance race - or, God forbid, all of the above! fail in any one area, toss them out. Alternatively, you can read the Bovada Racebook review first. types of races) 80% of the time. Horse has won at least one race. class today should be tossed out. Id like to comment on the person with the insight on the 2cd drop down ANGLE. Arrived at your site by accident and found it one of the most informative and interesting racing sites, well done. Horses rarely win from the back of the pack. Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. I GOT A SYSTEM LONG AGO THAT WAS CALLED THE DROP DOWN COVER UPSYSTEM. given date. Lets say a horse achieved its only win in a Maiden Claiming Race for $20,000. Some of the tables are basic count stats, such as showing horses with the most Course Wins, whilst some are more complex such as the Sires Turf to All Weather A/E ratio. [[DOESNT SAY WHAT TO DO ON DISTANCE SWITCHES IN THOSE RACES? Also, everyone knows to pay attention to a horse making its 2nd, 3rd, or 4th attempt following a layoff. Eclipse Sportswire. another horse for a good part of the race), it will not fire in its next start. Rating w/r/c I'll make a few generalized assumptions before showing you some recent figures . Stats InfoThe stats on this page can be shown in basic or advanced mode. If they are good players, perhaps they make it to a college team. For Latest News Visit Our Facebook . Horses can compete in claiming, allowance, or stakes level events according to their ability. Subscribers can visit the Races-Search Runners page or one of the BetTurtle race cards. Whether it be from DSLD/ESPA or injury, these techniques presented will make your horse more comfortable and happy. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Table ranked by win strike rate. We at UK Horse Racing think not. If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. Jockey, Jockey All Weather 33% of the time. this level. Stl% As stated earlier, at some tracks there are - rather than distinct class levels - class groupings. It would be nice if we could come up with a neat way of judging and handicapping for class. ITS BEEN AROUND A LONG TIME. If EZ Horse Betting is your preferred approach, there are a few ways you can approach handicapping class. Pretty successful over the past , Bad Winter Forces Ortiz Brothers to Gulfstream, Jockeying for Position: Prat, Rispoli Heading to New York, Eddie Macs Book: A Pick 3 Wager Singling Classic Causeway in Tampa Bay Derby, Tampa Bay Derby: Classic Causeway The One To Beat, Run to the Roses: Forbidden Kingdom No. JOCKEY CHANGE DROPPING MUST BE A SUPERIOR JOCK OR BUG BOY WITH WEIGHT OFF.. LITTLE REGARDED IS WHEN BARN/JOCK MAKE CHOICE OF THIS HORSE I. E. RATHER THAN OTHER HIDES JOCK HAS BEEN ON IN LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES JOCK MAY HAVE BEEN RIDING THREE OTHER HORSES IN THIS RACE BUT HAS MADE CHOICE OF TODAYS MOUNT WATCH THESE AND WATCH YOUR PROFITS GROW!!!! Cards, Search US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any Join today and instantly access our racing info including: Backing and Laying System Builders Unlimited Stats Unique Horse Racing Ratings, All for just 35 a month or see special offers, Lingfield1:20 1:56 2:31 3:06 3:41 4:16 4:51 Wolverhampton5:30 6:00 6:30 7:00 7:30 8:00 8:30. In horse racing these skill levels are known as class. Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. (Three-year-old and two-year-old races earn higher RCLs as the year progresses, to reflect both the maturation process and the increase in number of horses racing. At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to Tomorrow's longest travellers of horses and trainers are updated on a daily basis as the best horse racing tipsters 2023 use this data as part of their analysis. SP, 1999-2019 UK Horse Racing 100.00%. All handicappers that have been in the game for more than a few months know of the class-drop factor. Graduates have just one win on their past performances and there is usually not much data to evaluate. Any horse that drops suspiciously in. Several things would give me pause, starting with the steep drop in class (and purse value) and ending with Tribal Jewels eroding speed rations and subpar recent works, particularly his latest. Stats, Trainer National Hunt competition. (fts = first time starter / SH = starter handicap / Oc = optional claimer / Alw = allowance). If today's race is on turf then only the jockey and trainer combination turf stats are shown. 3. There are literally thousands of horses that race each day in America and abroad. Raw Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. and is ready to compete. 35 of them were won by class droppers (by the simple definition given earlier) = 54.7% 18 were won by horses staying at the same class level = 28.1% Only 7 were won by horses rising in class = 10.9% Winners: 1,815. bounce factor, which really does exist. HERES HOW IT GOES ;; Which is the Royal Racecourse: Ascot, Newmarket, York ? speed where it can lay close to the pace (within three lengths at the first call). Note that AW will include both Fibresand and Polytrack results. Sign up to get the latest insights delivered straight to your inbox. Your email address will not be published. 3. Horse Stats, Jockey Flat NEWS.. Trainer type of race generally puts an emphasis on late speed in a race. Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write(''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. And look at what happens when those same horses compete . I used to call it the second drop. Has the party dropped in class or has it stayed the same? Its a great question. Stats for combination runs. To find out, I consulted my racing database and heres what I found. is going to take place? You can access these pages by browsing the Stats section of the menu bar. Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt All information provided by this Handicapped, Class You can do this by clicking on the sires name on the racecard and looking at his A/E stat at Southwell. Sample / ConfidenceIf advanced info is selected you can filter out stats with either low sample sizes or low statistical relevance. Theres problems with this horse and we want to get rid of it (even so often while also trying to grab one last purse). So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. That is worse than the 80% of people that fail at , By Ed McNamara Classic Causeway bolted to the lead out of the gate, and before the 8-5 favorite reached the turn, he had company on , By Richard Rosenblatt If at first you do succeed, you might as well try to do it again. Today's Check our Bovada racebook review, Twinspires review or even our Betamerica review. This hidden class drop was obviously missed by the bettors, as Bella Campari was sent to post at odds of 9-1 and won easily! If you follow the punters which read the classification of the event as being the indication of class then it has dropped in class. A horse making it's first ever race course debut will have Flat Runs of 0. Here is the full list of racehorses who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. Race Ratings, Race Title b) Raced within 24 days and a work within eight days The stats can be viewed in basic or advanced mode and are colour coded so that you can quickly see very good (blue) and very bad (red) stats. Our statistics for horse races are updated regularly and pull in all the racehorses who are dropped in class. WinF Key, Past Winners With so many different levels at different tracks its often challenging to determine if a horse is moving up in class or down in class in todays race and by how much. Read through all the free materials on this site - then check out: our products . Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350. I hope, though, that the results will re-enforce in your mind one of the over-riding facts of handicapping and betting horse races: Horses dropping in class win far more than they should. Your email address will not be published. determine if a favorite is vulnerable. Sample Ratings In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt Here are the filters * we use that help us find the list of horses that on average will provide 80% of the winners each day.. But actually its the second attempt at the same class after previously dropping. Results, Course -. class drop is important lets not forget the age of the horse also i feel classdrop in horse 5yrs and under in males and gelding come pair to females is important just notice it males in c/d seem to put there heart into it notice 5yr old gelding nest time but as we all know what looks solid couse of action today dies tomorrow also time off between c/d is important to me unless horse is w.o. Differentials Impact For more help with this page, which includes an explanation on the basic / advanced stats and sample size / confidence figures please click the help icon in the menu bar. Trainer Jones has been running his horse in $15,000 claiming races. Course Stats, Latest We don't use the BHB classifications as this is nothing but a wish on behalf of the BHB on they would want the line-up of the race to be. Suspicious Drop in Class today I am also a keen racehorse owner and have worked in the gambling industry for several years. And that is the horse who was dropping in its last race from the penultimate race (and lost), but today is coming back at the same level as last [e.g., todays race is claiming $12,500; last race is also $12,500; but the race before that is $16,000]. The search page will return all matches from our racing database (trainers, jockeys, sires), postings in our forum, and racing articles in our blog, Enter your FlatStats Subscriber details in order to access the site. The term is defined as: . The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. A similar race at Turf Paradise is rated at 130. Handicapped, Class The same goes for a dirt horse trying the grass for the first time and viceversa. 5. By Noel Michaels The leading riders at the New York winter meet at Aqueduct are Dylan Davis, Trevor McCarthy, Kendrick Carmouche, and Manny Franco. Class Changers. 2. m/f Jockey A good rule of thumb is to assign a preliminary class rating of half the value of the horses sole win. Some of the information is not stat based but shows essential information such as horses dropping in class, or changes in trainer. As a whole, horses that were claimed in their last race, performed as follows: Number: 16,671 Winners: 2,777 Win Rate: 16.7% $2 Return (ROI): $1.59 (-20.57%). These races make up the majority of races at any race track on a given day. Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. But the same race conditions at Golden Gate Fields would be rated at 145. Horses Dropped in Class Tomorrow 6. "Blindingly Obvious", Sire & Dam Stats You may want to check the sires individual performance on Fibresand if racing at Southwell. DAVE HENRY You can devise your own angles to bet class at your favorite online racebook. Jockey, Jockey All Weather Chaotic Races The question will invariably be posed, how do you evaluate a graduate in terms of class. Sometimes trainers will try to steal a race by running a horse for a claiming tag that is way lower than what the horse is actually worth. Stats, Trainer For example, we decide to throw a party and decide to invite all the Class `A` (female, of course) celebs and we have a cracking time as there`s just us hosting the bash but only Michelle Pfeiffer turns up along with Catherine Zeta-Jones. So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? Thats an amazing statistic with When using your system builder is it currently possible to see past results from these?? How to Figure Horses Dropping in Class After Being Claimed Recently, on the " Homeless Handicappers " Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. View the daily list of Horse Racing Grade Droppers. Remember, should it Jockey, Horse Stats By Race Your email address will not be published. View the current list of horses around Australia who are dropping in grade from their previous runs. She finished seventh, beaten by 13 lengths. Movers, 1st Time e.g. Toss it. Raw Adj In claiming races, it's quite simple to determine if a horse is going up or down in class. What do you guys and gals do when you see this? The member asked. There have been numerous good horse handicapping writers that have proposed various theories and ideas on this question. 3]IF MORE THAN ONE PLAY IN A RACE.. THEN TOP HORSE IS THE ONE WITH THE MOST LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT AT THE FINISH!! Conn class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! Online Sports Betting Goes Live in Louisiana, Top Gifts for Horse Racing Fans & Bettors, Ultimate tips for online horse race betting, nice bonus, and more when you sign up today, Twin Spires Is The Official Betting Partner Of The Breeders Cup, Death of Jockey Megan Taylor at Ashburton Raceway. All Rights Reserved. Kids begin to get serious about the game in high school. Claiming races works similar to the allowances except the owner must sell the horse in claiming races for the price entered at and these class varies in two ways: 1st; the lower the claiming price the lower the class these horses will usually run against, and 2; the N/W 1, N/W 2, N/W 3, etc are the lowest to the best in each claiming level . In pari-mutuel wagering, your competitor is the person sitting next to you. Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather It doesnt take a Pittsburgh Phil to figure out that Tribal Jewel was the best horse in this race, but is he the best horse now on Jan. 6? Lacking a Good Activity Pattern The desire to run and compete is inherent but it is not always enough. Runners, One Runner Change in class is based on the old race letter classification where there are 11 classes. Frm Maidens & Koulds The negative drop down angle seems to have lost its bite in recent years.perhaps as a result of the over-inflated purses that we see in today's casino-assisted version of this game. 33.33%. Table ranked by earnings per start. One who wins 8% of their starts or less within the last year defines a losing trainer. Stats, Trainer But it got me wondering? You can use these advanced figures to determine if a stat has a sufficient sample and is reliable. Why not Subscribe Now and view the full stats for today? Stats, Trainer Flat All races are contests of speed. Please email me with any questions at cv. Handicappers, Well An interesting twist to the class drop is one that Ive noticed, but never kept any records. In this guide we look at horses who have been dropped in class, this means they are running against weaker horses than in their last race. To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race.
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